Every daily or Sunday newspaper has one or more in-house horse racing correspondents, who provide tips for every race on a day’s racing programme. The majority of newspaper tipsters highlight their best three selections for the day using the term “nap” for the day’s best bet, “NB” (next best) for the day’s second-best bet and “treble” for the third best. Analysis of the numerous newspaper tipsters’ performance can be found at racingpost.co.uk.
The Sun newspaper’s award-winning tipster Templegate is Ulsterman Phil Logan, originally hailing from West Belfast. His most memorable tipping achievement occurred on 10th March 2007. Templegate selected all seven winners at Sandown at prices of 6/1, 7/2, 11/4, 2/11, 5/1 and 4/5, giving cumulative odds of 14322/1. Templegate’s magnificent feat was a cause for great celebration by Welshman Archie Evans, who collected over £695k for a single £2 line on the Tote Scoop 6. The 59 year-old surveyor, from Newport in South Wales, a great Templegate fan, included four of Phil Logan’s selections in his winning bet.
Analysis of Tipsters’ Performance
The Racing Post Naps Table provides an analysis of all the tipsters’ “best” selections. The number of winners, losers and non-runners selected by each is given, along with details of longest winning and losing sequences. The Naps Table also gives the monthly and seasonal profit / loss achieved by staking £1 on each nap.
The Racing Post Press Challenge is perhaps a better guide to tipsters’ overall performance. Competitors begin with a theoretical bank of £1,000, from which £1 is staked at starting prices on all a tipster’s selections. The ratio of wins to tips, strike rate, percentage of favourites selected and monthly / yearly profit or loss are all included.
“Tipster Analysis” is an excellent feature of the Racing Post site. It allows a breakdown of a tipster’s selections into Flat or National Hunt, type of race and the profits or losses achieved in each category.
Templegate – 2008 Performance
For the 2008 season, as of 29th October, the Racing Post Naps table shows Templegate in 16th position (of 52) with 55 winners, 149 losers and 15 non-runners. £1 staked on each nap shows a loss of £20.08. His longest sequence of winning naps is 4, with a longest losing sequence of 14. The Racing Post Press Challenge shows Phil Logan to have tipped 1930 winners from 7588 selections, representing a strike rate of 25%. However, 48% of these tips have been favourites, resulting in a loss of £30.31 for 2008. Individual analysis of Templegate’s selections was not available, but analysis of all the Sun newspaper’s racing tipsters gave some interesting results.
The 2008 Flat season to date shows a loss of £606, with losses in all race types. 2 year-old races have produced 271 wins from 948 selections (28%) for a loss of £33.36. 3 year-old races gave 493 winners from 1899 tips (25%) for a loss of £222.45, while the biggest loss of £350.19 came in races for 4 year-olds+ with a strike rate of just 21% (497 wins from 2334 tips).
National Hunt (jumps) tips for 2008 produce far better results, with a yearly profit of £39.09. Steeplechases show 122 wins from 409 selections (29%) yielding a profit of £41.56 to £1. A further 107 selections finished in the first three. Hurdle race tips have produced 172 winners from 592 runners (29%) for a small profit of £1.09. National Hunt flat races was the only category to show a loss, with 21 winners from 74 selections (28%) showing a small loss of £3.56.
These statistics are well worth bearing in mind when contemplating Templegate’s selections in the Sun. It is recommended that Flat race selections are ignored, with attention paid to tips for National Hunt racing. It is worth remembering that Phil Logan’s “Magnificent Seven” at Sandown in March 2007 (see above) came at a National Hunt meeting. Keeping an eye on the Racing Post stats will alert all punters to the performance of Templegate and all the other newspaper tipsters.
Image Credit: The Sun